| Date | Track | Race # | Program Number(s)/Horse(s) | Winner (Payoff) |
Total Bet for the Month:
Total Earnings:
ROI:
Key:
Green- Correct Pick
Red- Incorrect Pick
Key:
Green- Correct Pick
Red- Incorrect Pick
Thursday, December 1, 2016
Sunday, November 6, 2016
Breeders' Cup Winners and Losers; Early Eclipse Predictions
I failed miserably on my Breeders' Cup prep, but honestly there was part of me that had also been out of the loop since the summer due to my mom's surgeries and recovery (she is now fine). The good news is I was able to watch almost all of the races (I missed the Juvenile Fillies as I was finishing up a family commitment), but here are this year's Breeders' Cup winners and losers.
Loser- Dortmund: I'm going to say it right off the bat, there are not going to be many losers on this year's list. However if there is anyone who deserves this more then anyone else then it is Dortmund. Everyone (including myself) thought he was the lock of the weekend and what does he do? He finishes fourth! So I have no idea what is going on with him, but it was not a good race.
Winner- Obviously: 5 times this guy has tried the Breeders' Cup and finally gets the win. Granted it was in the Turf Sprint and not the Mile, but now at eight this was likely his last chance to win.
Winner- Songbird, Tepin, California Chrome and Lady Eli: All four came in second in their races with two of them losing great breaking photo finishes and the other two not missing by much. Lady Eli especially the most heartbreaking considering what she came back from.
Loser- The "Songbird won" Conspiracy Theorists: Just give it a rest, the photo showed that Beholder got to the wire first, plus the NBC video was pretty good as well. You are just being a bit of a sore loser.
Loser- Victor Espinonza: After having one of the best Breeders' Cup's last year with a win in the Classic and a runner up finish in the Distaff, his BC this year was a nightmare with a 4th in the Distaff and depending who you talk to a bad ride on California Chrome.
Winner- Beholder: To the doubters who thought that she was finished... well you can shove it! Not only did she beat Songbird on the nose (for reals), she was able to get back her title as Queen of the Fillies. I'm so glad that she was able to go out on a win, something that four of the past five super fillies (Rachel Alexandra, Zenyatta, Blind Luck and Royal Delta) have not, with a win (Havre de Grace won in New Orleans for her career finale).
Winner- Unbridled: It wasn't like last year where his great-grandson won the Classic, but it was maybe even better. First his granddaughter Champagne Room stunned everyone with her amazing Juvenile Fillies win, then his another one of his great grandsons Classic Empire wins the Juvenile. To top it off his grandson Arrogate runs down Chrome to win the Classic.
Winner- The Zip Brothers: Ah Ghostzapper and City Zip, sweep the dirt sprints as a broodmare sire (Zapper) and as a sire (City).. that is all.
Winner- Gio Ponti: To those who where counting him out as a sire... well you can stuff it now he has a BC race winner! That is something that Street Sense, Hard Spun, and Curlin can't say.
Winner- Tiznow: A Mile winner thanks to Tourist and you could say that Arrogate had a Tiznow like rise. He came out of nowhere to win the Travers by an eye popping margin.
Winner- Medaglia d' Oro crossed with a granddaughter of Forty Niner: Lets see Rachel, Songbird and now New Money Honey who won the Juvenile Fillies Turf. The latter is out of a full sister to Any Given Saturday, which means her broodmare sire is...
Winner- Distorted Humor: The KING OF FORTY NINER STALLIONS! That's right Funny Cide's dad won 2 races as a Broodmare sire. Here is a horse who was the Leading Freshman Sire of 2002 (thanks to a Dq of an Elusive Quality son) got a Derby and Preakness winner in 03, a JCGC winner in 04, went on a cold streak, a Belmont winner in 2010, a Classic winner in 2011 (Drosselmeyer for both of those two races), grandsire of a Derby and Preakness winner in 2012 (I'll Have Another). He's had an amazing career. Not bad for a dirt miler.
Now here are a few Early Eclipse Predictions:
2yo Male: Classic Empire (after years of West Coast dominance, the East Coast 2yo's are back!)
3yo Male: Arrogate (the 3yo males where a mess, but I hope Gun Runner gets on the finalist list with the Classic winner and Exaggerator, but it will likely be Nyquist (yuck!))
3yo Female: Songbird (should be unanimous)
Older Female Dirt: Beholder (Distaff win overcomes her 3 loss streak)
Older Male Dirt: California Chrome (best year for the older males regardless)
Male Sprinter: Drefong (don't be surprised though if Lord Nelson gets it)
Turf Female: Tepin (this may be a tight vote between her and Lady Eli though)
Turf Male: Flintshire (Turf winner Highland Reel will likely make it close though)
Horse of the Year: Chrome (not a fan, but I'm not that stupid)
Loser- Dortmund: I'm going to say it right off the bat, there are not going to be many losers on this year's list. However if there is anyone who deserves this more then anyone else then it is Dortmund. Everyone (including myself) thought he was the lock of the weekend and what does he do? He finishes fourth! So I have no idea what is going on with him, but it was not a good race.
Winner- Obviously: 5 times this guy has tried the Breeders' Cup and finally gets the win. Granted it was in the Turf Sprint and not the Mile, but now at eight this was likely his last chance to win.
Winner- Songbird, Tepin, California Chrome and Lady Eli: All four came in second in their races with two of them losing great breaking photo finishes and the other two not missing by much. Lady Eli especially the most heartbreaking considering what she came back from.
Loser- The "Songbird won" Conspiracy Theorists: Just give it a rest, the photo showed that Beholder got to the wire first, plus the NBC video was pretty good as well. You are just being a bit of a sore loser.
Loser- Victor Espinonza: After having one of the best Breeders' Cup's last year with a win in the Classic and a runner up finish in the Distaff, his BC this year was a nightmare with a 4th in the Distaff and depending who you talk to a bad ride on California Chrome.
Winner- Beholder: To the doubters who thought that she was finished... well you can shove it! Not only did she beat Songbird on the nose (for reals), she was able to get back her title as Queen of the Fillies. I'm so glad that she was able to go out on a win, something that four of the past five super fillies (Rachel Alexandra, Zenyatta, Blind Luck and Royal Delta) have not, with a win (Havre de Grace won in New Orleans for her career finale).
Winner- Unbridled: It wasn't like last year where his great-grandson won the Classic, but it was maybe even better. First his granddaughter Champagne Room stunned everyone with her amazing Juvenile Fillies win, then his another one of his great grandsons Classic Empire wins the Juvenile. To top it off his grandson Arrogate runs down Chrome to win the Classic.
Winner- The Zip Brothers: Ah Ghostzapper and City Zip, sweep the dirt sprints as a broodmare sire (Zapper) and as a sire (City).. that is all.
Winner- Gio Ponti: To those who where counting him out as a sire... well you can stuff it now he has a BC race winner! That is something that Street Sense, Hard Spun, and Curlin can't say.
Winner- Tiznow: A Mile winner thanks to Tourist and you could say that Arrogate had a Tiznow like rise. He came out of nowhere to win the Travers by an eye popping margin.
Winner- Medaglia d' Oro crossed with a granddaughter of Forty Niner: Lets see Rachel, Songbird and now New Money Honey who won the Juvenile Fillies Turf. The latter is out of a full sister to Any Given Saturday, which means her broodmare sire is...
Winner- Distorted Humor: The KING OF FORTY NINER STALLIONS! That's right Funny Cide's dad won 2 races as a Broodmare sire. Here is a horse who was the Leading Freshman Sire of 2002 (thanks to a Dq of an Elusive Quality son) got a Derby and Preakness winner in 03, a JCGC winner in 04, went on a cold streak, a Belmont winner in 2010, a Classic winner in 2011 (Drosselmeyer for both of those two races), grandsire of a Derby and Preakness winner in 2012 (I'll Have Another). He's had an amazing career. Not bad for a dirt miler.
Now here are a few Early Eclipse Predictions:
2yo Male: Classic Empire (after years of West Coast dominance, the East Coast 2yo's are back!)
3yo Male: Arrogate (the 3yo males where a mess, but I hope Gun Runner gets on the finalist list with the Classic winner and Exaggerator, but it will likely be Nyquist (yuck!))
3yo Female: Songbird (should be unanimous)
Older Female Dirt: Beholder (Distaff win overcomes her 3 loss streak)
Older Male Dirt: California Chrome (best year for the older males regardless)
Male Sprinter: Drefong (don't be surprised though if Lord Nelson gets it)
Turf Female: Tepin (this may be a tight vote between her and Lady Eli though)
Turf Male: Flintshire (Turf winner Highland Reel will likely make it close though)
Horse of the Year: Chrome (not a fan, but I'm not that stupid)
Tuesday, November 1, 2016
Breeders' Cup Preview (Part 1)
Today's preview is just one race, but there will be more.
7th Race - Santa Anita Park - Friday, November 4th, 2016
STAKES. 1 Mile Dirt. Purse $1,000,000. Las Vegas Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (Grade 1). FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. Northern Hemisphere Three-Year-Olds, 123 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Southern Hemisphere Three-Year-Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. All Fillies and Mares allowed 3 lbs. $15,000 to pre-enter, $15,000 to enter, with guaranteed $1million purse including travel awards of which 55% to the owner of the winner, 17% to second, 9% to third, 5% to fourth, 3% to fifth, 1% to sixth, 1% to seventh and 1% to eighth; plus travel awards to starters not based in California. (03:05 PM)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Vyjack 6 G L 126 Prat Flavien D'Amato Philip
2 Bradester 6 H L 126 Kenneally Eddie
2 Tom's Ready 3 C L 123 Rosario Joel Stewart Dallas
3 Dortmund 4 C L 126 Garcia Martin Baffert Bob
4 Point Piper 6 H L 126 Gutierrez Mario Hollendorfer Jerry
5 Accelerate 3 C L 123 Baze Tyler Sadler John W.
5 Midnight Storm 5 H L 126 D'Amato Philip
6 Texas Chrome 3 C L 123 McMahon C.J. Caldwell J. R.
7 Runhappy 4 C 126 Stevens Gary L. Wohlers Laura
8 Tamarkuz 6 H L 126 Smith Mike E. McLaughlin Kiaran P.
9 Gun Runner 3 C L 123 Geroux Florent Asmussen Steven M.
12 War Story 4 G L 126 Serey, Jr. Mario
War Story is cross entered into the Classic.
Honestly this is Dortmund's race to lose. Although any of these horses could realistically win the race. Runhappy will try to pull off the Da Hoss where he had one start in-between Breeders' Cup's, and also try to put the Borell situation behind him. Gun Runner has been very solid all year could shine as well, and finally it could be a monster weekend for Stravinsky mare Life Happened as she has her son Vyjack in this race (her daughter Tepin will try to defend her Turf Mile title on Saturday).
Win- Dortmund
Place- Vyjack
Show- Tom's Ready
Dark Horse: Gun Runner
7th Race - Santa Anita Park - Friday, November 4th, 2016
STAKES. 1 Mile Dirt. Purse $1,000,000. Las Vegas Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (Grade 1). FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. Northern Hemisphere Three-Year-Olds, 123 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Southern Hemisphere Three-Year-Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. All Fillies and Mares allowed 3 lbs. $15,000 to pre-enter, $15,000 to enter, with guaranteed $1million purse including travel awards of which 55% to the owner of the winner, 17% to second, 9% to third, 5% to fourth, 3% to fifth, 1% to sixth, 1% to seventh and 1% to eighth; plus travel awards to starters not based in California. (03:05 PM)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Vyjack 6 G L 126 Prat Flavien D'Amato Philip
2 Bradester 6 H L 126 Kenneally Eddie
2 Tom's Ready 3 C L 123 Rosario Joel Stewart Dallas
3 Dortmund 4 C L 126 Garcia Martin Baffert Bob
4 Point Piper 6 H L 126 Gutierrez Mario Hollendorfer Jerry
5 Accelerate 3 C L 123 Baze Tyler Sadler John W.
5 Midnight Storm 5 H L 126 D'Amato Philip
6 Texas Chrome 3 C L 123 McMahon C.J. Caldwell J. R.
7 Runhappy 4 C 126 Stevens Gary L. Wohlers Laura
8 Tamarkuz 6 H L 126 Smith Mike E. McLaughlin Kiaran P.
9 Gun Runner 3 C L 123 Geroux Florent Asmussen Steven M.
12 War Story 4 G L 126 Serey, Jr. Mario
War Story is cross entered into the Classic.
Honestly this is Dortmund's race to lose. Although any of these horses could realistically win the race. Runhappy will try to pull off the Da Hoss where he had one start in-between Breeders' Cup's, and also try to put the Borell situation behind him. Gun Runner has been very solid all year could shine as well, and finally it could be a monster weekend for Stravinsky mare Life Happened as she has her son Vyjack in this race (her daughter Tepin will try to defend her Turf Mile title on Saturday).
Win- Dortmund
Place- Vyjack
Show- Tom's Ready
Dark Horse: Gun Runner
2016 Betting Challenge: November Table
| Date | Track | Race # | Program Number(s)/Horse(s) | Winner (Payoff) |
Total Bet for the Month:
Total Earnings:
ROI:
Key:
Green- Correct Pick
Red- Incorrect Pick
Key:
Green- Correct Pick
Red- Incorrect Pick
Monday, October 31, 2016
Breeders' Cup Fields are set!
I will be profiling all of the 3yo+ races (as I really haven't been following the Juveniles this year that much, but it is still quite a bit better then last year's Juvys that are not named Songbird) starting tomorrow and going to Friday. A full recap of all the races will be on Sunday.
Sunday, October 16, 2016
Breeders' Cup Previews Starting This Week
I will be starting to breakdown the horses who are pointing towards the Breeders' Cup this Weds. There will be 3 races per post leading up to draw day (Halloween). During the BC week, I will be giving my picks for each race and have my Winners and Losers (for those who remember Furlong Drive) post on Sunday evening.
Tuesday, October 11, 2016
Where are the Betting Challenge recaps?
Uhh... I kinda forgot to do them for August and September. Don't worry though they will be coming soon. Honestly my fear was that I was going to lose interest in the challenge and in a way it has come true. Fear not though I think with the Breeders' Cup right around the corner my mojo will be returning!
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